Review of
Moneyball,
by Michael Lewis, ISBN 0393324818
Five out of five stars
The truth about winning baseball
No person has
done more to change the perception of how people are actually performing in a
sport than Bill James in baseball. Yet, no one has been ignored more in the
baseball establishment than James. His development of the statistical science
he termed sabermetrics allowed people studying baseball to better evaluate the
performance of the players in an objective manner. Using statistical methods
that most fans can understand, James and his followers prove in the statistical
sense that time honored tactics such as the stolen base and sacrifice bunt are
generally counterproductive.
Few executives
in major league baseball took these new evaluation tactics seriously. One that
did, largely because they could not compete in the financial sense, was Billy
Beane, the general manager of the Oakland Athletics. Despite having a payroll
that was dwarfed by that of nearly all other teams, the Athletics won more games
over many seasons than most of the big spenders.
This is his
story and how Beane and his small group of data minders looked for players that
were relatively cheap and performed to their models of performance. To the leadership
of the Athletics, on base percentage was the greatest single determiner of
offensive performance. Giving away the precious currency of outs by getting
caught stealing or executing a sacrifice bunt were considered unacceptable.
This is one of
the best nonfiction baseball books ever written. Despite the high level of
success of the Athletics during the years covered by this book, there are still
many in baseball that do not accept the James/Beane approach to the game. Some
express outright hostility to their approach. In many ways it is kind of silly,
for the James/Beane approach is the only foreseeable way in which the smaller
market teams will ever be able to compete with those with the deepest of
pockets.
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