Review of
Instaread Summary of The Rise and Fall of American Growth The U.S. Standard of Living Since
the Civil War by Robert J. Gordon
In reading this
summary, I was reminded of one of the supposedly most foolish suggestions ever
made by a U. S. government official. The false quote was attributed to Commissioner
of the US patent office Charles Holland Duell in 1899 and was “Everything
that can be invented has been invented.” To a rough first approximation, that
is the thesis of this book and the quote points out the fallacy of predicting
innovative stagnation.
The prime historical
point of the book by Gordon is that the years 1870-1970 were a time when human
productivity skyrocketed. The development of megatrends such as a universal
electrification, localized grids providing fresh water and sewage disposal, the
understanding and treatment of disease and the creation of the internal
combustion engine led to an unprecedented and now unachievable rise in
productivity increase.
Gordon argues
that while it is fast, the current pace of change is essentially restricted to
small increases in productivity on the edges rather than any major
breakthroughs. Therefore, we will never see such productivity gains again. Which
is why my thoughts went to the incorrect quote from the patent official.
Even though I
question the validity of Gordon’s main point, I found this summary to be
superb. Reading it made the content of the book clear, after completing this
summary I found myself with an urge to read the book, if for no other reason
that to mentally argue with Gordon.
This book was made available for free for review
purposes.
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